Milk Predict

September 2023

Why India’s agri production stats need a ground reality check

India’s agricultural production statistics sometimes present dissonances with consumption data. The household consumer expenditure data are more than a decade old, and an update is urgently needed. How much milk does India really produce? What is its actual domestic requirement of cereals or sugar? These are simple questions, but basic to understanding the market for …

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A big fat problem in milk: What’s driving up prices?

The current price inflation in milk is mainly due to a shortage of fat. It has led dairies to hike full-cream milk prices or to cut fat content through rebranding of existing products. Also, milk does not attract GST, while fat and powder used in reconstitution does, an anomalous situation for which the consumer ultimately …

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China’s dairy imports remain in decline

Demand in China for dairy imports is in decline as the country faces a sharp slowdown in economic growth. Historically there has been a strong relationship between China’s economic growth and its level of dairy imports. For the year to date (Jan-Sep) China has imported 2.3million tonnes of dairy products, a 20% drop year on year …

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Rabobank report: the Chinese market and global dairy trade

As the third largest producer of milk globally and the largest importer, China is a very important part of the global dairy market. A recent Rabobank report examined how developments in the Chinese dairy sector could affect the global dairy trade. Key Points Chinese domestic milk production has tripled since 2002 An increasing proportion of …

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Milma’s 2023-24 budget anticipate ₹1.22 crore surplus

The annual general body meeting of the Kerala Co-operative Milk Marketing Federation, known by its brand name Milma, has adopted a growth-oriented budget for 2023-24 pegging the revenue at ₹680.50 crore and expenditure at ₹679.28 crore, anticipating a surplus of ₹1.22 crore during the financial year. The AGM also adopted resolutions covering a wide range of key …

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Global Dairy Trade Event 338 concluded with the GDT Price Index down 7.4%

Key Results AMF index down 5.3%, average price US$4,452/MT Butter index down 3.0%, average price US$4,539/MT Ched index up 5.8%, average price US$4,127/MT SMP index down 5.2%, average price US$2,333/MT WMP index down 10.9%, average price US$2,548/MT Buffalo milk 6.0% fat and 9 % SNF in Rs /kg Amul                …

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Yogi Government’s Announces 50% Subsidy on Dairy Farms with 25 Cows

In a groundbreaking move aimed at boosting dairy farming across the state of Uttar Pradesh, the Yogi Adityanath-led government recently announced a substantial 50% subsidy for dairy farms consisting of 25 cows. This bold initiative has created significant buzz within the agricultural community and among potential dairy farmers. In this article, we delve deep into …

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Fonterra updates Farmgate Milk Price, FY23 earnings guidance, and brings forward capital return payment date

Fonterra has today announced an opening 2023/24 season forecast Farmgate Milk Price of $7.25 to $8.75 per kgMS, with a midpoint of $8.00 per kgMS, updated its current season forecast Farmgate Milk Price, increased its full year earnings guidance, and brought forward the payment date of its proposed capital return.  CEO Miles Hurrell says while …

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Global Dairy Quarterly Q3 2023: Progressing Past the Pain

Rabobank lowers its 2023 milk production forecast. Milk production from the Big 7 export regions is anticipated to grow by 0.3% YOY in 2023. The downgrade from last quarter’s estimate of 0.5% is driven by reductions in most key global regions, including the US, EU, and New Zealand. Into 2024, output is expected to climb …

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When Family Are Friends: The Secret Of Parsi Dairy’s Successful 107-Year Run

A family whose members share a long running friendship. That is the underlying goodness of Parsi Dairy Farm. As you enter through the new fire engine red door, you see the ‘unchanging wall’ that tells stories of a time when ghee was sold in tin cans; milk came to your doorstep in glass bottles delivered …

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