Milk Predict

September 27, 2023

Why India’s agri production stats need a ground reality check

India’s agricultural production statistics sometimes present dissonances with consumption data. The household consumer expenditure data are more than a decade old, and an update is urgently needed. How much milk does India really produce? What is its actual domestic requirement of cereals or sugar? These are simple questions, but basic to understanding the market for …

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A big fat problem in milk: What’s driving up prices?

The current price inflation in milk is mainly due to a shortage of fat. It has led dairies to hike full-cream milk prices or to cut fat content through rebranding of existing products. Also, milk does not attract GST, while fat and powder used in reconstitution does, an anomalous situation for which the consumer ultimately …

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China’s dairy imports remain in decline

Demand in China for dairy imports is in decline as the country faces a sharp slowdown in economic growth. Historically there has been a strong relationship between China’s economic growth and its level of dairy imports. For the year to date (Jan-Sep) China has imported 2.3million tonnes of dairy products, a 20% drop year on year …

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Rabobank report: the Chinese market and global dairy trade

As the third largest producer of milk globally and the largest importer, China is a very important part of the global dairy market. A recent Rabobank report examined how developments in the Chinese dairy sector could affect the global dairy trade. Key Points Chinese domestic milk production has tripled since 2002 An increasing proportion of …

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